Progressive
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Selective’s CEO earlier attributed Q3 adverse development to the NJ market.
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Cat losses in Q3 were light as peak hurricane season passes without incident.
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Early Q3 earnings reports point to worsening market conditions.
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The selloff may hint at headwinds for equity investors.
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The insurer booked a $950mn policyholder credit expense in September.
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Cat losses in August were below historical trends, but we are not in the clear just yet.
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Cat losses in July were below historical trends, but all eyes are on peak hurricane season.
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Full-stack carriers fail to outclass incumbents with no clear platform differentiation.
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The company also purchased $15mn of SCS parametric coverage.
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The research team presents the June cat heatmap.
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Allstate attributed the bulk of its losses to three major wind and hail events.
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January cat losses continue to run higher than prior years, with no help from latest wildfires.
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Net property losses from Hurricane Milton in October reached $153.6mn.
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The company incurred $563mn of total cat losses related to the storm.
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It had planned to non-renew 47,000 DP-3 and 53,000 high-risk homeowners’ policies this year.
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The industry could weather a recession, unless loss costs and reserving pressures worsen.
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Investor skepticism visible in stock prices and short interest data over first half of 2024.
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The losses added 12.3 points to the firm's 100.4% CoR.
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Changes in investment strategy and strong results show carriers can weather financial storms.
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The CoR for homeowners’ insurance rose to 95.4% from 75.8% in February.
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The homeowners' CoR fell over 32 points sequentially to 75.8%.
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The carrier also plans to ramp up media spend.
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Personal auto rates increased 19% during the year.
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The homeowners’ CoR worsened 39 points sequentially to 107.9%.
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The commercial auto CoR decreased to 93.7% in December, while the homeowners’ CoR improved 13.2 points to 68.9%.
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The commercial auto CoR worsened 7.8 points to 108.6% for the month, while the homeowners’ CoR deteriorated 15.1 points to 82.1%.
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Personal auto carriers risk falling behind in the battle between loss costs and approved rate declines, while homeowners carriers’ double-digit filings might not be enough to keep up.
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Reciprocals have been cropping up more recently, with a shift toward cat-exposed lines, giving investors a quick way to tap into the hard market with an expectation of a rich multiple at exit.
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The net cat loss ratio dropped to 0.4% from 1.8% in September, but the consolidated loss ratio deteriorated 2.4 points to 75.5% during the same period.
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Kemper’s current results and historical trends suggest continued difficulty and remains a TBD story.
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The company also plans to ramp up its media spend in 2024 after having significantly slashed advertising budgets earlier this year.
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Loss costs trends continue to increase in both physical damage and bodily injury coverages for nearly all of Progressive’s commercial auto products, CEO Tricia Griffith wrote in a quarterly update.
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Allstate’s underperformance in results and value creation may be an opportunity for activist investor Trian, but history suggests it will have its work cut out.
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These figures mark an improvement from August, which was impacted by losses from Hurricane Idalia.
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Insurance regulators in California and other states signed off much-needed personal lines rate hikes in September.