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Commercial auto: The Progressive problem

Progressive’s monster growth in Commercial Auto is becoming harder to ignore as a contributing factor to market-wide dynamics.

IPC Research, August 19, 2019
Maiden to stakeholders: Drop dead

A series of transactions that appear to benefit sister company AmTrust at its own expense raises questions about whose interest the firm is being run for.

IPC Research, August 15, 2019
Progressive: Positioned to outlast peers

Progressive's July results point to continued downward pressure on pricing as firms compete for market share in personal auto.

IPC Research, August 14, 2019
Auto: Pricing hits new lows

New inflation data showed pricing continued to weaken in July as companies pivot to growth. With flat severity, margin pressures are building. Frequency remains the wildcard.

IPC Research, August 14, 2019
Auto: The "overshoot" risk begins

Headline results at auto insurers remain strong. Even so, as the market shifts to a more pro-growth stance, the risk of overshooting on price competition always increases.

IPC Research, August 12, 2019
AIG: The three-step master plan

We have written extensively our conviction 2019 would prove an inflection point. However, it is now clear even we underestimated the extent management would wield the axe.

IPC Research, August 08, 2019
Hedge Fund Re: The irony factories

It’s tough out there for total return reinsurers. Our view is that the current valuations of total return reinsurers are unsustainable, and that the group are vulnerable to M&A and activism.

IPC Research, August 07, 2019
Brokers: Climate change denial?

Insurance brokers reported strong Q2 results, with organic growth tailwinds helping both top and bottom lines. But with elevated expectations, strong results appear to be merely table stakes.

IPC Research, August 06, 2019
Medmal social inflation in focus

Swiss Re’s medmal exit comes after ProAssurance’s warning last quarter of companies being “swept away by the tide”.

IPC Research, August 02, 2019
MMC: Closing the margin gap > revenue headwinds

Expect a messy first year at MMC post-JLT. But longer term, the opportunity to close the margin gap on acquired and retained revenues is huge relative to earnings on likely lost revenue.

IPC Research, July 31, 2019

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